The roller coaster ride of temps has begun. After a warm Wed, with highs in the 60s across central NC, to temps today hardly making it out of the 30s. But we will get a break by this weekend, after a cold rain Friday. Sunday and next Monday should be nice days with highs in the 50s, Before another arctic front drops in with real cold temps coming back. Heres some forecast model images.
GFS for next Wed afternoon showing highs not getting out of the upper 20s, But Im not gong with that below is the ECMWF (European) model showing temps in the low to mid 30s and Ill lean towards that for now.
Either way its looking to get real cold again. Heres the GFS mean temps from normal for the 10th
Well below normal around the 10-13th is what Im expecting. Here you can see why I big 500mb through will carve out in the eastern US,
And that will push arctic air in. But fear not cause for us warm weather lovers there is a light at the end of this dark cold tunnel shown below with the GFS forecast for afternoon high by the 15 of Feb
Look at that 60s possible, I sure think so by mid month. Also heres the CFS(Climate Forecast System) a US monthly forecast model for Feb.
I like the look of that and feel that Feb will be overall warmer than Jan was for the SE, although expect some cold shots here and there(after all it is the middle of Winter). Thats it for now I just wanted to give a heads up on the coming cold cold air then behind that a warm up by mid month. Ill have more on the possible snow by this weekend, but as of today it still looks possible that we could get some snow the GFS is all over the place while the EC is still showing this along with the GFS Ens members (some) also.
No comments:
Post a Comment