Up's and downs is the rule. Talking about the upcomeing weather pattern.

The roller coaster of temps has begun, and with that comes the spring like weather patterns of warm/cold/warm/cold. That looks to be the rule in the coming week or so. Ill start by showing the day 10 mean temp departure for the GFS.

This is for Friday Feb 18. And thats a lot of warmth in fact the upper mid west may see rain and not snow sometime in the coming week. Also I should have post this image first but this is for next Thursday Feb 17th showing a BIG SE ridge and lots of warmth coming up and a storm system out over the Rockies, and while its too early to really say, But there could be some severe weather to follow this warm up in the southern plains and deep south.

Also looking at the end of week 2 temps the GFS shows mostly a warm pattern for much of the US.

I also like the look of the EC and GFS 8-10day mean H5 (500mb) height anomaly.

Just a beautiful warm pattern if your a lover of warm weather like me. But like all things good and bad they must come to an end, and that MAY happen close to the end of Feb, and while the NWP models dont really show this the NAO index does with a -NAO(blocking over Greenland) coming back BUT by this time the cold is bound to be of shorter duration as it will be close to if not early March by then. But lets enjoy this beautiful weather coming ahead for the SE. Next week that is.