Today Wed, will be the last 60 degree day we see for a while so while its windy enjoy it. Thursday and Friday will be cooler with tomorrow being in the mid 40s and Friday maybe not getting out of the upper 30s and rain. But let me skip ahead to next week around Wednesday/Thursday time frame. While there are some model differences (as to be expected this far out) but I thought this should be brought up. Ok lets start with the GFS for next Wed, this is from the latest 12z (or 7am Feb2 run) and taking a look at this would imply some possible snow.
Now Ill say the 6z (1am run) was more robust with this system and a bit powerful, but still both show possible snow. Heres the 500mb GFS chart for Wed (next) morning showing the upper level energy spawning the surface Low.
This is valid at 1am Wed morning with strong upper level vort max. Also its interesting to note some of the GFS ensemble members (not the mean) showing this possible out come.
The ones outlined in back show possible snow storm, with a few showing a big one, BUT this is only a few out of 12 members SO no need to get all hyped up cause most as of now dont show this. Plus the Canadian is not on our side either, its shows more of a cold front coming through with rain.
(click to enlarge all images) But this is just a sneak peak at what may be to come, Ill have more as by this weekend on next week. Now lets take a look at the long range while I do expect a cold blast just before Valentines day, I do think a warm up is in store there after take a look at the OP GFS for Feb 17 evening.
Ahh, a nice warm up for the SE, a true La Nina patter looks to take shape, also to help increase my feelings in this heres the GFS Ens Mean for the same time frame.
A ridge in the SE and a ridge in the eastern Pacific with a trough in the Western US. Thats it for now Ill have more on next weeks storm (rain or snow) by weeks end. Thank you for reading.
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