Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Rain moving in tonight, then windy warm day tomorrow.

Today should see temps hold in the mid to upper 40s across central NC today with a wedge air mass still in place (chilly air mass) as shown in the image below by the rusty orange color.
By later on tonight that front should lift north as a warm front with rising temps from the upper 40s to the upper 50s and low 60s by sun rise tomorrow. But first heres the thunderstorm outlook for today into tonight
I have outlined in red were today/tonights severe weather should be, and in yellow that shows areas where nonsevere storms could be including here by early tomorrow morning, you could be some thunder with any heavy shower that comes by as shown by the Hi Res WRF forecast model below.
Also I have a forecast sounding here ( a vertical profile of the atmosphere) and it too shows small instability.
But again I believe most of us here in Central NC should see some heavy rain early tomorrow morning and a small chance as of now of hearing any thunder, but its possible. Heres the set up for the rest of the US today with the Deep south seeing severe weather and Mid West seeing blizzard conditions and heavy snow and icing.

As for central NC we will see the bulk of our rain move in tonight into tomorrow morning and then turning WINDY with gusts up to 35-40mph possible so hold on.

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